Athletic vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1956 |
FCP
1 - 2
ATH
52%
21%
28%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ATM
0 - 0
ATH
47%
21%
32%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
ATH
4 - 0
VAD
86%
9%
5%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
19%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1956 |
ATH
2 - 0
NIC
90%
6%
4%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 3
DEP
44%
22%
33%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
UDL
2 - 0
RJA
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
ATM
5 - 0
RJA
87%
8%
5%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 2
ATM
43%
22%
35%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
VCF
1 - 1
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |