Athletic vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 0
ATH
56%
24%
19%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 0
MLL
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATH
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ATH
1 - 1
FCB
13%
19%
67%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
ELC
0 - 0
ATH
20%
24%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RAY
3 - 0
GET
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 1
RAY
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 0
ALC
73%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RAY
4 - 0
GRA
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 0
RAY
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |