Athletic vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
ATH
2 - 0
RMA
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
ATM
0 - 0
ATH
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
ATH
3 - 2
VCF
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
RSO
1 - 2
ATH
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1985 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
FCB
20%
27%
52%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
HER
2 - 1
VAD
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
SEV
2 - 0
HER
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
HER
1 - 0
FCB
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1985 |
FCB
5 - 0
HER
87%
10%
3%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |