Copa del Rey . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Athletic vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ATH
1 - 0
FCB
14%
21%
65%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATH
0 - 2
GET
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
CDT
3 - 3
ATH
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 0
GRA
66%
22%
13%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 1
VCF
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 1
ESP
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CDB
2 - 3
GRA
11%
19%
70%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SEV
2 - 0
GRA
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |