Copa del Rey . Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Athletic vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1944 |
ATH
4 - 1
ARE
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
ARE
1 - 6
ATH
26%
22%
52%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
ATH
4 - 2
BAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATH
30%
22%
49%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
VCF
5 - 4
ATH
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1944 |
RMA
0 - 2
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
GRA
0 - 0
RMA
45%
23%
33%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
GRA
2 - 1
SDC
74%
15%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SDC
3 - 3
GRA
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
GRA
5 - 2
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |