Athletic vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
BUR
2 - 2
ATH
42%
27%
32%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
ATH
1 - 0
ATM
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
ATH
2 - 0
SER
64%
18%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ATH
0 - 0
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1977 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAD
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CAD
0 - 2
FCB
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
BET
3 - 0
CAD
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1977 |
CAD
2 - 0
PEG
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
CAD
2 - 0
RSO
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |