Athletic vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATH
39%
28%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 2
SEV
39%
25%
36%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 1
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
3 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
8%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 0
FCB
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 3
ATM
20%
29%
51%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATM
85%
11%
5%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ATM
5 - 1
BET
70%
19%
11%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |