Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 2-1
Athletic vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
ATH
2 - 0
BAT
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ATH
0 - 1
CCF
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATH
13%
23%
64%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
GET
1 - 2
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
REU
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OLO
0 - 0
ALC
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATH
13%
23%
64%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 2
LLE
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 3
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |