Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-8
Athletic vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
4.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
5%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.9%
3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATH
64%
17%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
CEL
4 - 1
ATH
35%
21%
44%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
ATH
6 - 0
CEL
88%
7%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
2 - 0
OSA
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
ATM
5 - 0
ALA
73%
16%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
ALA
0 - 1
SEV
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
ALA
2 - 2
DEP
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
MUR
6 - 0
ALA
69%
17%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALA
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |