Athletic vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
RAY
79%
13%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
74%
16%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
SLA
0 - 3
ATH
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
58%
21%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
AJA
4 - 2
ZWO
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
AJA
3 - 2
GAE
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
NAC
1 - 7
AJA
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |