Bilbao Ath. vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 0
ATH
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 0
TUD
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 0
ATH
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
CDU
0 - 3
ATH
14%
23%
63%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TUD
1 - 1
ATH
18%
26%
57%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SDA
0 - 3
RUN
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CLH
2 - 0
SDA
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AMU
1 - 3
SDA
17%
25%
59%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
CLU
0 - 0
SDA
16%
24%
60%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SDA
2 - 2
ALA
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |