Atalanta vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
FIO
0 - 1
ATL
71%
20%
9%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
ATL
3 - 2
ASC
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
JUV
3 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
ATL
0 - 1
INT
26%
30%
44%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 0
ATL
62%
24%
14%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
ASC
2 - 0
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
AVE
2 - 1
VIC
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
ROM
37%
31%
31%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
FIO
1 - 0
AVE
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
NAP
3 - 0
AVE
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |