Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Atalanta vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1988 |
BAR
1 - 1
ATL
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1988 |
ATL
2 - 1
TAR
61%
26%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
TRI
0 - 0
ATL
40%
29%
30%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
MES
2 - 2
ATL
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1988 |
ATL
4 - 0
FCC
62%
24%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
SCP
4 - 0
ACA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
FAR
0 - 2
SCP
16%
26%
59%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
SCP
0 - 0
ESP
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
RIO
1 - 2
SCP
17%
25%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
PEN
4 - 0
SCP
13%
26%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |