Serie A . Jor. 12

Atalanta vs Roma analysis

Atalanta Roma
80 ELO 87
-6.4% Tilt -14.1%
27º General ELO ranking 35º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.3%
Atalanta
26%
Draw
45.7%
Roma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.7%
Win probability
Roma
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atalanta
+13%
+1%
Roma

ELO progression

Atalanta
Roma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2014
SAS
Sassuolo
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
44%
27%
29%
81 78 3 0
02 Nov. 2014
TOR
Torino
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
54%
25%
22%
80 82 2 +1
29 Oct. 2014
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Napoli
NAP
19%
24%
57%
79 89 10 +1
26 Oct. 2014
UDI
Udinese
2 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
62%
22%
17%
79 84 5 0
19 Oct. 2014
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 0
Parma
PAR
36%
26%
38%
79 83 4 0

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2014
ROM
Roma
3 - 0
Torino
TOR
73%
17%
10%
87 81 6 0
05 Nov. 2014
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
Roma
ROM
86%
11%
3%
88 99 11 -1
01 Nov. 2014
NAP
Napoli
2 - 0
Roma
ROM
57%
22%
21%
88 89 1 0
29 Oct. 2014
ROM
Roma
2 - 0
Cesena
CES
83%
12%
5%
88 71 17 0
25 Oct. 2014
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 0
Roma
ROM
27%
25%
49%
89 80 9 -1
X