Atalanta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACM
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATL
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
4 - 2
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
LAZ
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
REG
2 - 0
LEC
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 2
UDI
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LAZ
1 - 1
LEC
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 0
CAG
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |