Serie A Round 27

Atalanta vs Lecce analysis

Atalanta Lecce
82 ELO 74
2.8% Tilt -7.5%
General ELO ranking 128º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
66.1%
Atalanta
20.7%
Draw
13.2%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.2%
Win probability
Lecce
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atalanta
-5%
+3%
Lecce

ELO progression

Atalanta
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 1994
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
56%
24%
21%
82 82 0 0
27 Feb. 1994
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 3
Juventus
JUV
25%
27%
49%
82 91 9 0
20 Feb. 1994
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
72%
18%
10%
82 89 7 0
13 Feb. 1994
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
37%
28%
35%
82 88 6 0
06 Feb. 1994
USC
Cremonese
2 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
43%
28%
29%
83 79 4 -1

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 1994
LEC
Lecce
0 - 1
Napoli
NAP
21%
26%
53%
73 87 14 0
27 Feb. 1994
GEN
Genoa
2 - 0
Lecce
LEC
66%
21%
14%
74 82 8 -1
20 Feb. 1994
LEC
Lecce
1 - 0
Udinese
UDI
35%
29%
36%
73 80 7 +1
13 Feb. 1994
JUV
Juventus
5 - 1
Lecce
LEC
78%
15%
7%
74 90 16 -1
06 Feb. 1994
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Piacenza
PIA
46%
30%
24%
74 78 4 0