Serie A round 20

Atalanta vs Lazio analysis

Atalanta Lazio
79 ELO 83
2.9% Tilt -6.1%
General ELO ranking 16º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.6%
Atalanta
26.3%
Draw
34.1%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.1%
Win probability
Lazio
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atalanta
-7%
-6%
Lazio

ELO progression

Atalanta
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2010
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
65%
20%
15%
79 84 5 0
06 Jan. 2010
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 2
Napoli
NAP
45%
26%
29%
79 82 3 0
13 Dec. 2009
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Inter
INT
19%
24%
57%
79 91 12 0
06 Dec. 2009
FIO
Fiorentina
2 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
63%
22%
15%
79 87 8 0
29 Nov. 2009
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 2
Roma
ROM
22%
23%
55%
80 89 9 -1

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2010
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
48%
27%
25%
83 84 1 0
10 Jan. 2010
UDI
Udinese
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
51%
24%
24%
83 83 0 0
06 Jan. 2010
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 1
Livorno
LIV
58%
23%
19%
83 78 5 0
20 Dec. 2009
INT
Inter
1 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
72%
18%
10%
83 91 8 0
17 Dec. 2009
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 1
Levski Sofia
LSO
63%
21%
16%
83 76 7 0