Serie A Round 14

Atalanta vs Genoa analysis

Atalanta Genoa
80 ELO 79
-2.5% Tilt -9.3%
General ELO ranking 57º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
51.1%
Atalanta
25.5%
Draw
23.4%
Genoa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.4%
Win probability
Genoa
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atalanta
-5%
+3%
Genoa

ELO progression

Atalanta
Genoa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2012
FIO
Fiorentina
4 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
60%
23%
17%
81 85 4 0
11 Nov. 2012
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 2
Inter
INT
23%
26%
52%
80 89 9 +1
04 Nov. 2012
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
47%
27%
26%
80 79 1 0
31 Oct. 2012
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 0
Napoli
NAP
27%
26%
47%
80 88 8 0
28 Oct. 2012
PES
Pescara
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
36%
28%
37%
80 73 7 0

Matches

Genoa
Genoa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2012
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 1
Genoa
GEN
47%
27%
26%
79 78 1 0
11 Nov. 2012
GEN
Genoa
2 - 4
Napoli
NAP
32%
26%
42%
79 87 8 0
04 Nov. 2012
SIE
Siena
1 - 0
Genoa
GEN
46%
27%
27%
80 80 0 -1
01 Nov. 2012
GEN
Genoa
0 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
48%
25%
27%
80 84 4 0
27 Oct. 2012
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Genoa
GEN
70%
19%
11%
80 89 9 0