Atalanta vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
JUV
5 - 1
ATL
74%
15%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ATL
0 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ATL
2 - 0
BAR
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 0
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
GEN
3 - 0
ACL
79%
13%
9%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
TOR
3 - 1
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
GEN
5 - 1
VNZ
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ACM
0 - 0
GEN
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1942 |
GEN
6 - 1
VIC
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |