Atalanta vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2006 |
ABN
2 - 3
ATL
22%
27%
51%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
TER
0 - 0
ATL
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 1
FCC
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 2
CRO
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 0
BOL
35%
29%
37%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAT
3 - 2
CRO
54%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CRO
1 - 1
TOR
41%
29%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |