Atalanta vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ATL
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 2
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAG
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 1
ATL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAT
0 - 1
CAG
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 3
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 2
CHI
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ACM
4 - 0
CAT
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |