Atalanta vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
ATL
3 - 1
ASS
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 0
ATL
19%
28%
53%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2000 |
ATL
3 - 3
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
PES
0 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 2
TER
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2000 |
BRE
5 - 1
PES
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
TER
2 - 2
BRE
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASS
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 1
BRE
19%
26%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 0
ALZ
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |