Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 3
ATL
12%
21%
67%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 1
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 2
ATL
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 1
FIO
50%
24%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 3
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 1
SAS
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 3
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAG
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
UDI
2 - 1
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
9%
20%
71%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |