Atalanta vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEC
0 - 2
ATL
17%
22%
61%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
JUV
55%
22%
23%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
61%
21%
19%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
MAR
76%
14%
9%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
ATL
15%
21%
64%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 1
AUG
81%
13%
6%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 5
LEV
12%
18%
70%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
ROM
66%
20%
15%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 5
LEV
17%
22%
62%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ROM
0 - 2
LEV
31%
24%
45%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |