Atalanta vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
ATL
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
GRO
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CTT
0 - 1
ATL
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 1
ABN
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
ATL
18%
28%
55%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
PIA
2 - 1
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
SIE
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MOD
0 - 2
VAR
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
REG
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |