Atalanta vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
ATL
1 - 0
VER
50%
28%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAS
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ATL
0 - 0
LEC
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
INT
4 - 2
ATL
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 1
FIO
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
BAR
3 - 1
PIA
71%
20%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
BAR
3 - 2
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 1
BAR
42%
30%
27%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
BAR
2 - 1
MES
55%
26%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |