Atlético Albericia vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Albericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 2
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
0 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 4
PON
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
ESC
11%
19%
71%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
CAS
64%
21%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAY
12%
21%
67%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CUL
1 - 1
CAS
77%
16%
7%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 2
LAR
9%
17%
74%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |