Asyut Petroleum vs Madina Monowara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
3º
3º
19
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asyut Petroleum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
ELM
0 - 1
ASY
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ASY
1 - 1
ASA
50%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
ASY
1 - 0
TBS
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
ANT
0 - 0
ASY
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
ASY
1 - 0
ALF
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Madina Monowara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 2
LFC
16%
22%
62%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
KIM
1 - 1
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
DSC
4 - 1
MAD
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
MAD
0 - 3
ALU
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
MIS
2 - 3
MAD
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | +1 |