Aston Villa vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
ASV
1 - 2
WIM
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
CRY
0 - 0
ASV
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1991 |
QPR
2 - 1
ASV
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
ASV
1 - 1
MUD
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
ARS
5 - 0
ASV
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1991 |
MAC
2 - 1
DER
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1991 |
LEE
1 - 2
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
MAC
3 - 1
NTT
37%
26%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1991 |
CRY
1 - 3
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |