Aston Villa vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 1
WBA
49%
23%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1958 |
ASV
3 - 2
MUD
31%
22%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
TOT
6 - 2
ASV
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
OPA
1 - 0
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1958 |
BOL
0 - 2
MAC
48%
21%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
NTT
0 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
BBU
68%
17%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
SHW
1 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |