Astana vs Zhenis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
4º
7
6º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 40 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 40 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 38 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 36 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 35 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 34 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 33 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 32 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 29 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 25 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 25 |
13º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
63.5% | 53.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 46% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 0
AST
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 0
AST
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 4
AST
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
AST
0 - 0
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
VKP
3 - 0
AST
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 0
VOL
57%
21%
23%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AKT
5 - 0
FKZ
36%
23%
42%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SSO
1 - 0
FKZ
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
FKZ
4 - 0
FKA
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
KYR
1 - 1
FKZ
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |