ACO Liguria vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
ROM
5 - 1
ACL
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
3 - 0
ROM
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
GEN
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
JUV
4 - 1
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 2
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 3
TOR
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
VNZ
2 - 2
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 0
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
VIC
3 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
TRI
3 - 0
FIO
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |