Assaut vs Samaritaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
64.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assaut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 1
MON
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
GOL
2 - 1
ASP
88%
9%
3%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 0
TRE
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +5 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ASP
1 - 3
GOL
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
USR
2 - 0
ASP
71%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
USR
0 - 4
SAM
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 1
RCS
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GOL
0 - 3
SAM
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
SAM
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SAM
1 - 2
GOL
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |