Assaut vs Trénelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assaut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ASP
1 - 3
GOL
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
USR
2 - 0
ASP
71%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ASP
0 - 6
GOL
7%
15%
77%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CLU
3 - 0
ASP
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ASP
1 - 2
EMU
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Trénelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TRE
1 - 2
USR
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
RCS
2 - 2
TRE
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TRE
1 - 1
AIG
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
TRE
1 - 1
ESS
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
USR
0 - 0
TRE
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |