Non League Premier round 14

Ashton United vs North Ferriby United analysis

Ashton United North Ferriby United
32 ELO 43
13% Tilt -4.9%
5315º General ELO ranking 9348º
206º Country ELO ranking 465º
ELO win probability
33.9%
Ashton United
24.5%
Draw
41.6%
North Ferriby United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
Ashton United
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.6%
Win probability
North Ferriby United
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ashton United
-23%
-20%
North Ferriby United

ELO progression

Ashton United
North Ferriby United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ashton United
Ashton United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2006
ASH
Ashton United
1 - 0
Frickley Athletic
FRI
40%
24%
37%
32 39 7 0
10 Oct. 2006
LEE
Leek Town
1 - 0
Ashton United
ASH
42%
26%
32%
33 31 2 -1
07 Oct. 2006
ASH
Ashton United
2 - 1
Prescot Cables
PRE
40%
24%
36%
31 38 7 +2
25 Sep. 2006
ASH
Ashton United
2 - 1
Burscough
BUR
37%
23%
40%
29 36 7 +2
23 Sep. 2006
GRA
Grantham Town
1 - 1
Ashton United
ASH
56%
23%
21%
28 34 6 +1

Matches

North Ferriby United
North Ferriby United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2006
NOR
North Ferriby United
4 - 1
Kendal Town
KEN
39%
24%
36%
40 42 2 0
10 Oct. 2006
NOR
North Ferriby United
1 - 1
Lincoln United FC
LIN
65%
20%
15%
40 33 7 0
07 Oct. 2006
AFC
AFC Telford United
2 - 1
North Ferriby United
NOR
57%
22%
21%
41 46 5 -1
03 Oct. 2006
NOR
North Ferriby United
0 - 2
Guiseley
GUI
53%
24%
23%
42 40 2 -1
23 Sep. 2006
NOR
North Ferriby United
4 - 1
Fleetwood Town
FLE
24%
24%
52%
39 50 11 +3