Ashford United vs Guernsey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HYT
1 - 4
ASH
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
ASH
4 - 2
RAM
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 3
WHI
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
ASH
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
WHY
3 - 4
ASH
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guernsey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
GUE
2 - 2
HAS
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 1
GUE
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GUE
1 - 0
SEV
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
BUR
3 - 0
GUE
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
GUE
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -2 |