Ashford Town vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
TOO
3 - 2
ASH
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
TON
3 - 2
ASH
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 5
ASH
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ASH
2 - 1
SUT
36%
25%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ASH
0 - 1
BOR
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 0
SUT
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 0
TOO
57%
21%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 1
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HAR
4 - 2
HEN
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SUT
2 - 2
HAR
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |