Asenovets vs Tundzha Yagoda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asenovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
FKH
2 - 1
ASE
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ASE
1 - 2
POM
29%
27%
45%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FGR
3 - 1
ASE
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ASE
2 - 1
FKB
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
HEB
0 - 1
ASE
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tundzha Yagoda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
TUY
1 - 0
POM
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
FGR
0 - 1
TUY
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TUY
2 - 1
FKB
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HEB
0 - 1
TUY
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TUY
3 - 2
GIG
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |