Santa Maria Cilento vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
LAT
2 - 1
SMC
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 0
RAA
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
BIA
0 - 0
SMC
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 0
GEL
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 1
LIC
49%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
REN
0 - 1
CAV
18%
24%
59%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ACI
1 - 2
CAV
42%
26%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
CAV
2 - 1
CIT
50%
25%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
CAV
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
CAV
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |