Vastogirardi vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
PIN
2 - 1
VAS
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VAS
2 - 2
SEL
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GIU
0 - 2
VAS
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 1
MAT
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 1
VAS
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
RIE
0 - 2
UST
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
RIE
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
RIE
0 - 0
ASD
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
RIE
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
RIE
1 - 2
SIC
41%
26%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |