Spezia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
USC
0 - 0
SPE
40%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 1
VNZ
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
LIV
0 - 1
SPE
19%
26%
54%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
SPE
5 - 1
NUO
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
FRO
2 - 1
SPE
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
ACD
0 - 2
PRG
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
EMP
2 - 4
ACD
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
ACD
1 - 1
PIS
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
JUS
1 - 1
ACD
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2020 |
ACD
1 - 1
CHI
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |