Spezia vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 0
SPE
56%
21%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
BRE
4 - 1
SPE
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
EMP
1 - 0
SPE
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
SPE
7 - 0
TAR
79%
12%
8%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 2
SPE
44%
23%
34%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
FAN
4 - 1
TAR
70%
16%
14%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
FAN
3 - 0
SIR
63%
19%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
FAN
1 - 2
BRE
41%
24%
34%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
PRO
1 - 2
FAN
44%
21%
35%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 0
FAN
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |