Spezia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
SPE
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAL
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAL
32%
28%
39%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LAT
2 - 0
BRE
25%
28%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
BRE
27%
27%
45%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
CRO
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |