Spezia vs AC Rodengo Saiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 1
SPE
18%
23%
59%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 1
OLB
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FSD
1 - 1
SPE
20%
24%
57%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
4 - 0
LEO
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPE
1 - 1
FCC
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
AC Rodengo Saiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACR
1 - 0
VAL
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
POL
1 - 1
ACR
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ACL
2 - 1
ACR
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACR
1 - 1
FCC
56%
24%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 3
ACR
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +2 |