ASD Sambiase vs Forza e Coraggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 3
ASD
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
0 - 0
ASD
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ASD
0 - 0
MES
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
EBO
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASD
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Forza e Coraggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 1
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
HYR
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |