Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Sant'Elpidio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
SEL
3 - 1
OLY
35%
24%
41%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 3
REC
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 2
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 4
APR
18%
22%
61%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 1
SEL
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
VAS
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
SFF
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
UST
1 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAT
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |