Città di Varese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
54.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
ACS
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 3
ASD
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
GOZ
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
ASD
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
ARC
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARC
1 - 4
FOL
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
FOL
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
FOS
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |