Cartigliano vs Manzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MES
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
GSD
1 - 0
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MZN
2 - 1
CAM
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
VIR
3 - 1
MZN
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MZN
0 - 1
CAL
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SDA
1 - 2
MZN
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MZN
0 - 3
VNZ
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | +9 |