ASCUM Boeny vs Nosy-Bé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASCUM Boeny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
1 - 4
TPB
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 4
CNA
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
FCM
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 1
CNA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ASC
4 - 3
FCM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nosy-Bé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
RNB
2 - 1
FCM
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RNB
3 - 3
TPB
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
RNB
2 - 3
FJS
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
RNB
1 - 0
FJS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
RNB
1 - 1
ASC
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |