FA Cup Previa 1
Global 3-2
Ascot United vs Ardley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascot United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 1
ASC
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 0
SLO
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 2
ASC
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
OXH
1 - 5
ASC
9%
14%
78%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
EDT
0 - 3
ASC
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ardley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ARD
1 - 1
ASC
18%
18%
64%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 2
BAL
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ARD
4 - 2
HAT
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HOD
1 - 3
ARD
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
POT
1 - 0
ARD
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |